Investment Firm Analyzes War Risk in Europe

Gerald Hörhan, founder of Investmentpunk Academy GmbH, has analyzed Europe's escalating geopolitical risks and the threat of war, particularly in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

Hörhan assesses that while a direct military conflict between NATO and Russia remains unlikely, the risk is no longer zero. According to him, the world has entered a new geopolitical era where simultaneous conflicts across the globe, such as in the Taiwan Strait, the Korean Peninsula, and the Middle East, are increasing instability.

"Globally, the frequency of conflicts and the threat of war have increased significantly. Economically, we are already in a form of war economy, with defense spending reaching record highs, currencies being devalued, and inflation remaining high," Hörhan states. He cautions that in such an environment, protecting one's assets with hard assets like gold, Bitcoin, and real estate in stable locations is crucial.

Hörhan highlights the Taiwan situation as particularly concerning due to its global economic ramifications, as the island is the world's leading semiconductor manufacturer. A potential conflict there could lead to deeper supply chain disruptions and broader economic instability than experienced during the COVID-19 pandemic.

While Hörhan urges vigilance and flexibility in response to evolving crises, he advises against succumbing to doomsday scenarios. He emphasizes the importance of understanding the risks and safeguarding one's wealth while maintaining a realistic outlook.