New Book Guides Leaders to Recognize Decline Before Numbers Confirm It
Ty Carver's new book "EXIT SIGNALS" offers leaders five human-based warning signs to identify an organization's decline. The book is set for release on October 13, 2026.

Author Ty Carver will release his new book, "EXIT SIGNALS: How Leaders Spot Decline Before the Numbers Do," on October 13, 2026. The book aims to equip leaders with a framework to identify early indicators of organizational decline, focusing on human behavior rather than solely financial metrics.
Drawing on his experience in executive recruiting and as a volunteer firefighter, Carver argues that shifts in employee, customer, and potential hire behavior can signal impending issues. He posits that these human indicators often precede the confirmation provided by financial results.
The book outlines five key signals: Talent Flight, Habit Erosion, Belief Erosion, Leadership Lag, and The Missing On-Ramp. These categories represent observable changes in an organization's stakeholders and its ability to attract future talent.
Carver's central thesis is that while financial numbers are not incorrect, they are often a lagging indicator. "EXIT SIGNALS" provides leaders with tools to interpret these human signals alongside financial data to gain a more comprehensive understanding of an organization's trajectory.
While the book uses the local television industry as a primary case study, it also examines decline in sectors such as higher education, healthcare, banking, and retail. A free assessment tool, the "Exit Signals Dashboard," is available on the book's website.