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Study: Fitness, Not Smoking, Top Cardiac Risk Factor for Premature Death

New research published in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology identifies poor physical fitness as a greater risk factor for premature death than any single cardiac risk factor.

21 July 2026
Study: Fitness, Not Smoking, Top Cardiac Risk Factor for Premature Death

Research published in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology has identified physical fitness as the most significant predictor of premature death. The study highlights that improvements in fitness can substantially reduce mortality, even more so than quitting smoking or managing other known cardiac risk factors.

According to the findings, markedly poor fitness is linked to a higher risk of premature death compared to other individual cardiac risk factors. While the study also notes that most individuals can achieve up to a 50 percent risk reduction by improving moderate risk factors, the primary takeaway emphasizes the predictive power of overall fitness.

The article introduces the concept of METs (Metabolic Equivalent of Task) to measure energy expenditure during various activities. A higher MET level, achieved through activities like brisk walking or jogging, is associated with a reduced risk of mortality. Research cited from the Journal of the American Medical Association indicates that each step up the MET ladder reduces all-cause mortality by 13 percent and heart attack risk by 15 percent.

Fitness and endurance can also be assessed through simple tests, such as climbing stairs. Climbing four flights of stairs (60 steps) in under 40 seconds can equate to a MET level of 10, indicating good functional capacity. Improving these metrics, by increasing walking, light jogging, or incorporating stair climbing into daily routines, can lower mortality risk. For instance, transitioning from a sedentary lifestyle to brisk walking can decrease the mortality risk by 13 percent.

A straightforward, though not necessarily easy, approach to increasing longevity is to improve one's physical fitness. The goal does not require becoming an elite athlete; simply being moderately fitter than before is sufficient. This can involve integrating everyday activities like using stairs or taking short walks into daily routines.

Original source: fastcompany.com