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Super El Niño Could Disrupt Small Retailers' Winter Sales

An unusually warm winter due to the Super El Niño phenomenon may leave small retailers with excess inventory of winter apparel and gear, forcing markdowns and lost sales.

10 October 2026
Super El Niño Could Disrupt Small Retailers' Winter Sales

The Super El Niño weather pattern poses a threat to small businesses reliant on traditional weather patterns. An unexpectedly warm and dry winter season could leave retailers with excess stock of winter coats and ski gear, forcing them into markdowns and resulting in lost sales.

Masha Shunko, an associate professor of operations management at the University of Washington, stated that changing weather can shift demand for items, when customers need them, and where. Simultaneously, it can cause supply chain disruptions, affecting transportation and store operations.

Retail experts have voiced concerns regarding the sales of specific winter apparel categories. Analysts note that consumers do not purchase winter coats when the weather is warm, which can significantly impact company revenues.

Experts emphasize that the influence of weather conditions on business planning should be given greater consideration today compared to previous years. Various retail sectors, including groceries, home improvement, and holiday merchandise, may face overstock or shortages due to shifting weather patterns.

Original source: inc.com